Economics
Nastaran Shahvari
Abstract
In this article, we provide an in-depth study of the link between global commodity prices and the shocks market. Many Middle East countries are exports dependent and rely heavily on the global price of their primary commodities to make rational economic decisions. It is against this background that this ...
Read More
In this article, we provide an in-depth study of the link between global commodity prices and the shocks market. Many Middle East countries are exports dependent and rely heavily on the global price of their primary commodities to make rational economic decisions. It is against this background that this study investigates the level of interdependence between global commodities prices and stock market returns in selected Middle East countries. For this empirical investigation, the two largest stock markets were selected based on market capitalization namely Tehran Stock Exchange (TSE) and Saudi Stock Exchange, TADAWUL (TASI). Specifically, we examined the relationship between global commodities prices and stock market returns and the direction of causality between the variables following Eagle Granger causality procedures. In addition, we determined the effect of global commodities` price movement on stock market returns using the ARDL estimation technique. The results of our analyses show that there is a significant long-run relationship between global commodities prices and stock market returns. Also, there exists a largely bidirectional causal relationship between global commodities prices and stock market returns in the two markets. Furthermore, the results of ARDL estimation reveal that global commodities prices have short-run and long-run effects on stock market returns in the two markets. These findings are robust to a battery of robustness checks. These results support the investor's decision-making process. In addition, the results of this survey are important for policymakers to strengthen the stock market to drive economic growth.
Economics
Ubong Edem Effiong
Abstract
The attempt in this study has been to detect the influence of foreign exchange reserves on import demand in Nigeria. With data spanning from 2000 to 2020, we estimated the long-run and short-run import demand function using ‘fully modified ordinary least squares’ and ‘error correction ...
Read More
The attempt in this study has been to detect the influence of foreign exchange reserves on import demand in Nigeria. With data spanning from 2000 to 2020, we estimated the long-run and short-run import demand function using ‘fully modified ordinary least squares’ and ‘error correction model’ respectively after we established that our variables were integrated of the first order and that cointegration exists. The long-run import demand function pointed out that the effect of foreign exchange reserves on import demand is positive but insignificant but such effect turned negative and significant in the short-run. Import price was also noted to put forth a negative sway on import demand with its effect being significant. Income was observed to wield a positive long-run influence on import demand while the effect of exchange rate was positive and significant in the long-run but became negative and significant in the short-run. By the elasticity coefficients, income elasticity put forth a greater influence on import demand compared to every other variable with the coefficient being greater than unity. It therefore becomes pertinent for actions toward reducing the income coefficient to less than or equal to one to be instituted. It is critical that import demand management be regarded as an aspect of an inclusive stabilization strategy. Imports should be targeted as part of this effort to compensate for shortfalls in domestic production. Furthermore, strategies that reduce government spending or raise taxes (contractionary fiscal policy) could reduce income growth which is a chief driver of import demand.
Economics
Elnaz Hajebi; Mohammad Taher Ahmadi Shadmehri; Kambiz Peykarjou; Salman Sotoudehnia
Abstract
In the theory of microeconomics, in discussions related to consumer behavior, it is usually assumed that the household acts as a decision-making unit like an individual, and for a household, a budget constraint and a utility function are considered. As a result, only the general behavior of the household ...
Read More
In the theory of microeconomics, in discussions related to consumer behavior, it is usually assumed that the household acts as a decision-making unit like an individual, and for a household, a budget constraint and a utility function are considered. As a result, only the general behavior of the household will be observable and analyzed. Since the 1980s, this method, which is called the Unitary Household Model, has been criticized theoretically and empirically, and issues such as the inequality of household members have been raised. In contrast to the Unitary Household model, Collective Household Model was proposed in consumer behavior. According to this method, in multi-member households, each member has their own preferences, and what can be important between these members is the intra-household bargaining process. In this article, at first, we will give an introduction including the theoretical foundation and the background of the research, then, while introducing the unitary model as an introduction to collective models, we will examine the collective model and inta-household collective models. At the end, the contents are summarized and suggestions for future research are presented.
Economics
Retno Furi Sekarsari; Agnes Quartina Pudjiastuti; Cakti Indra Gunawan
Abstract
Livestock businesses have various risks of death that can occur due to accidents, natural disasters, and disease outbreaks. To anticipate the risks that occur, the government seeks to help farmers through agricultural insurance, including the cattle and buffalo business insurance program (AUTSK= Asuransi ...
Read More
Livestock businesses have various risks of death that can occur due to accidents, natural disasters, and disease outbreaks. To anticipate the risks that occur, the government seeks to help farmers through agricultural insurance, including the cattle and buffalo business insurance program (AUTSK= Asuransi Usaha ternak Sapi/Kerbau). This study aims to analyze the implementation of the AUTSK program and the factors that affect the income of dairy farmers. The research was conducted in Ngajum District, Malang Regency with the consideration that this area is a center for dairy cows. Data were collected from 40 dairy farmers obtained by simple random sampling. Furthermore, the data was edited and compiled, and then analyzed using the multiple linear analysis method (which was transformed from Cobb Douglas function). The results showed that implementation of the AUTSK program in Malang Regency tended to be less attractive to farmers because the fulfillment of claims was not timely (the period of disbursement of funds was too long). Farmer education, livestock ownership and the cost of concentrate feed have a significant effect on the income of dairy farmers. Government needs to re-evaluate implementation of livestock insurance so that farmers can continue their business. Limitation of this study is difficulty of separating cost of production facilities for each cow, so that the expenditure for lactating cows is also difficult to calculate correctly.
Economics
Elnaz Hajebi; Teimour Mohammadi
Abstract
In a world scale economy considering interlinkage and interactions between countries, economic shocks will affect various economies through channels. Meantime, the oil price is one of the most important channels. New studies show that the connection between the oil price and the world economy has numerous ...
Read More
In a world scale economy considering interlinkage and interactions between countries, economic shocks will affect various economies through channels. Meantime, the oil price is one of the most important channels. New studies show that the connection between the oil price and the world economy has numerous complications which could not be incorporated in traditional frames with only taking into consideration separated and identified oil supply and demand shocks without considering synchronicity and the source of the main shocks. Therefore it is essential to model a multi-dimensional system. The purpose of this study is to investigate the impact of oil price shocks on the major macroeconomic variables of oil-exporting countries from 1974Q1 to 2019Q4 using the global vector autoregressive (GVAR) approach. The macroeconomic variables include four domestic variables, three foreign variables and one global variable. In particular, it provides a theoretical framework for the global oil market to illustrate how multi-country approach to modeling oil markets can be used to identify country-specific oil price shocks. On the empirical side, it shows the global economic implications of oil price shocks vary considerably depending on which country is subject to the shock. The results of this study indicate that the economic consequences of a positive oil price shock are different on macroeconomic variables in oil-exporting countries in short-run and long-run. However, in response to a positive oil price shock, most of OPEC countries experience long-run inflationary pressures.
Economics
Andi Kusmawan; Agnes Quartina Pudjiastuti; Nur Ida Iriani
Abstract
Efficient marketing will prosper the actors in each marketing agency, producers and consumers. Efficiency will be created if marketing costs can be minimized so that the percentage of producer prices to consumers is not too large, and there is no gap in the profit ratio to marketing costs between marketing ...
Read More
Efficient marketing will prosper the actors in each marketing agency, producers and consumers. Efficiency will be created if marketing costs can be minimized so that the percentage of producer prices to consumers is not too large, and there is no gap in the profit ratio to marketing costs between marketing agencies. The study aims to analyze marketing efficiency of tangerines and siamese in Gadingkulon Village. Data were collected from 87 citrus farmers who were selected by simple random sampling. Traders were determined by snowball sampling, consist of 17 collectors, 5 wholesalers, and 7 retailers were selected. Data were edited in the field, tabulated, compiled, then presented in tabular form, analyzed and described. The results showed that tangerines and siamese in Gadingkulon Village had an imperfect competitive market structure which was monopolistic. Marketing of the two types of oranges involves four channels i.e. collectors, retailers (inside and outside Malang Regency), and wholesalers. Oranges marketing system is not yet efficient, where wholesalers have larger profit margin ratio than other market players. Marketing channels I and II for tangerines are more efficient than channels III and IV. Meanwhile, marketing channel I for siamese is more efficient than channel II, III, and IV.
Economics
Rahmat Hidayat; Agnes Quartina Pudjiastuti; Sumarno Sumarno
Abstract
Oranges are favored by consumers, especially during pandemic covid-19, because they contain high vitamin C. Gadingkulon Village, located in Dau District, Indonesia, is one of the largest oranges producing villages. Mainstay plantation commodities of the village are tangerines and siamese. Agricultural ...
Read More
Oranges are favored by consumers, especially during pandemic covid-19, because they contain high vitamin C. Gadingkulon Village, located in Dau District, Indonesia, is one of the largest oranges producing villages. Mainstay plantation commodities of the village are tangerines and siamese. Agricultural commodities generally fluctuate in price and production. The study’s purpose was to evaluate feasibility of farming tangerines and siamese. Data were collected from 87 farmers who grow both types of oranges. Farmers were selected by simple random sampling, where the number is determined using slovin formula. The data were analyzed using investment criteria of revenue cost ratio, benefit cost ratio, break event point for price and production, payback period, net present value and internal rate of return. The results show that tangerine and siamese farming were feasible to develop because investment criteria number exceeds some criteria. Payback period is less than five years, price and production break event point were lower than that received by farmers, net present value is relatively large and positive, rate of return on capital is higher than social opportunity cost of capital. Oranges farming was feasible yet, even though prices have fallen by 10% and production by 30%. Siamese were more profitable than tangerines.
Economics
Etuk Harrison Etuk; Obioma Gertrude Onukwube; Imoh Udo Moffat
Abstract
Russia and Ukraine are in a war, with the former invading the latter. This puts the latter under great stress, many have died in the process and many more have been displaced and many more have fled from Ukraine. This has resulted in intervention in many time series related to Ukraine. For example, the ...
Read More
Russia and Ukraine are in a war, with the former invading the latter. This puts the latter under great stress, many have died in the process and many more have been displaced and many more have fled from Ukraine. This has resulted in intervention in many time series related to Ukraine. For example, the time series of the daily exchange rates of Ukrainian Hryvnia (UAH) and United States Dollars (USD) experienced an intervention on the first day of Russian incursion. By Box and Tiao (1975) approach, a realization of the time series from 1 January 2022 to 15 March 2022 is analyzed. The intervention model arrived at is found adequate. It can be the basis for management and planning.
Economics
Johora Tahsin
Abstract
ICT has been considered a crucial player in environmental quality in the present age of industrial revolution and technological advancement. This study, therefore, seeks to examine the effects of ICT on environmental quality including technological innovation in selected Asian developing countries. A ...
Read More
ICT has been considered a crucial player in environmental quality in the present age of industrial revolution and technological advancement. This study, therefore, seeks to examine the effects of ICT on environmental quality including technological innovation in selected Asian developing countries. A panel data that spanned from 1990 to 2018 is utilized to pursue the objectives of this study by applying second-generation panel approaches. In the long run, an inverted U-shaped relationship between the ICT index and CO2 emission is found by FEM and FMOLS estimators, indicating that environmental pollution decreases after attaining a threshold level of ICT development in selected Asian developing countries. The study reveals that technological innovation has a negative and significant influence on reducing CO2 emission, leading to energy efficiency and diminishing the intensity of energy used by inventing environmentally friendly technologies. Besides, electricity consumption and economic growth have positive and significant effects on the environment however, a negative and significant effect is found in the case of trade openness. The interactive effect of ICT and economic growth decreases the level of pollution while the moderate effect of ICT and technological innovation worsens the environmental quality in sample countries. The findings reveal that the role of ICT and technological innovation in mitigating environmental degradation still needs improvement in sample countries. The use of environmentally friendly ICT products and more green technological innovation are needed to improve energy efficiency by providing more fiscal incentives and infrastructures and enforcing environmental laws and regulations in the sample countries.
Economics
Mfouapon Alassa; Kamdem Cyrille Bergaly; Mohammadou Nourou
Abstract
The objective of this study is to produce a statistical investigation of the determinants of public expenditure in and for agriculture in Sub-Saharan Africa with particular emphasis on the effects of democracy and quality of governance. The data for the study cover the period 1996-2018 in 32 Sub-Saharan ...
Read More
The objective of this study is to produce a statistical investigation of the determinants of public expenditure in and for agriculture in Sub-Saharan Africa with particular emphasis on the effects of democracy and quality of governance. The data for the study cover the period 1996-2018 in 32 Sub-Saharan African countries. In the quantitative analyses, we perform two estimations: country fixed effects and feasible generalized least squares regressions. We find that only civil liberties positively determine the allocation of public expenditures to agriculture. The strength of democratic institutions and government voice and accountability have no real effect on the allocation of public spending to agriculture. Regarding the quality of governance, only political stability positively determines the allocation of public expenditure to agriculture. Our findings have strong policy implication for politician and different government, which shows that it is more desirable to shift public expenditures towards the agricultural sector by institutionalized the governance and improve democratic institutions. Also, our findings cast some doubt on the exact public policy channels through which political institutions affect agricultural growth.
Economics
Elham Kamal
Abstract
This paper sheds a new light on the role of central bank credibility (CBC) in explaining the extent of exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) in two stages. In the first stage, using 60 months rolling window regression of the inflation on the nominal effective exchange rate is obtained time-varying ERPT during ...
Read More
This paper sheds a new light on the role of central bank credibility (CBC) in explaining the extent of exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) in two stages. In the first stage, using 60 months rolling window regression of the inflation on the nominal effective exchange rate is obtained time-varying ERPT during 1990m1-2020m1. Once the credibility index (deviation of average of past inflation from target) is computed over a period of 29 years (1991-2019), in the second stage, the sample of 19 inflation targeting (IT) economies are split into different regimes with regard to the credibility values by using a Panel Threshold Regression (PTR) model. Our empirical result shows that there is one threshold point for CBC which is well identified by the data, allowing me to split my sample into two credibility regimes. When CBC level is below a threshold of 35% within a high-inflation environment, the extent of the ERPT coefficient is found to be higher. However, with the shift towards high-credibility regime, when credibility level is exceeding the threshold of 35%, the level of pass-through is significantly declining in the IT countries. This finding sheds further light on how the credibility gained through the commitment to the targets can be effective on the performance of the central bank and would ensure the better control of the pass-through.
Management
Rina Nopianti; Andreas Tri Panudju; Angrian Permana
Abstract
This paper aims to predict stock prices using open, high, low, close variables using artificial neural networks, especially the adaptive fuzzy neural inference system (ANFIS). Each stock has a different pattern and can be predicted if you have complete data. This study is limited by stock data for 2012-2019. ...
Read More
This paper aims to predict stock prices using open, high, low, close variables using artificial neural networks, especially the adaptive fuzzy neural inference system (ANFIS). Each stock has a different pattern and can be predicted if you have complete data. This study is limited by stock data for 2012-2019. The survey was conducted to collect stock data from the Yahoo Finance website. The stock data used is data from 2001-2018. Learning patterns of data patterns using the Adaptive Neural Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) were compared with regression analysis, Mean Square Error (MSE) and Mean Prediction Error. The results show that stock price predictions using the Adaptive Neural Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) have a small error rate (below 1 percent). The stock price at closing is determined by the open price and the volume of the stock. The value of the highest price of the stock and the lowest value of the stock follows the determined value of the opening price. This paper contributes to existing research in economics, especially stock investment and Financial Technology.
Economics
Gomolemo Gashiten; Paidamoyo Mutepfa
Abstract
The study followed up on the observations made by Bara et al., (2016) who observed that there was a deficit in analyzing the growth-finance nexus using data from SADC countries. The purpose of the study was therefore to ascertain the impact of foreign direct investment on economic growth through the ...
Read More
The study followed up on the observations made by Bara et al., (2016) who observed that there was a deficit in analyzing the growth-finance nexus using data from SADC countries. The purpose of the study was therefore to ascertain the impact of foreign direct investment on economic growth through the domestic financial market channel of SADC countries. A sample of countries from the SADC region was employed with the data ranging from 1980 to 2018. The data was obtained from the IMF and the World Bank’s World Development Indicator data base. The regressors used in the study include foreign direct investment, financial sector development, interaction of financial development and foreign direct investment, trade openness, gross capital formation, inflation and government expenditure. Fixed Effects panel regression was used after the Hausman Test revealed that the FEM was the most appropriate model. The outcome of the study revealed that FDI does not have a statistically significant impact on GDP without the interaction with financial sector development. However, the effects were amplified when financial sector development is introduced in the model. With the presence of financial sector development, FDI had a positive and statistically significant impact on GDP and at the same time financial sector development had a positive impact on GDP. Recommendations emanating from the study encourage monetary authorities to strengthen their financial services sector so as to fully benefit from FDI.
Economics
Kazuhiro Ohnishi
Abstract
The seminal work by White (1996) examines the welfare effects of production subsidies in a mixed Cournot oligopoly market where a state-owned public firm competes with fully domestic-owned private firms, and presents the following two main results. First, if production subsidies are utilized only before ...
Read More
The seminal work by White (1996) examines the welfare effects of production subsidies in a mixed Cournot oligopoly market where a state-owned public firm competes with fully domestic-owned private firms, and presents the following two main results. First, if production subsidies are utilized only before privatization, domestic economic welfare is always lowered by privatization. Second, if production subsidies are utilized before and after privatization, then domestic economic welfare is not changed by privatization. This paper examines the welfare effects of production subsidies in a mixed Cournot duopoly model where a state-owned public firm competes with a private firm that is partially foreign owned. The paper presents the following two main results. First, if subsidies are used only before privatization, then there is a reduction in domestic economic welfare. Second, if subsidies are used before and after privatization, then domestic economic welfare is raised by privatization. The paper finds that the second result is in contrast with that obtained by White (1996).
Economics
MONGBET Zounkifirou; TOURERE Zenabou
Abstract
This article assesses the effects of international aid on the health sector in developing countries. We use estimation techniques such as Ordinary Least Squares (OLS), instrumental variables with fixed effects, and the dynamic panel approach. Using the data from various sources over the period 1990 to ...
Read More
This article assesses the effects of international aid on the health sector in developing countries. We use estimation techniques such as Ordinary Least Squares (OLS), instrumental variables with fixed effects, and the dynamic panel approach. Using the data from various sources over the period 1990 to 2017 covering 126 developing countries, the initial results show that health aid contributes effectively and significantly to improved health outcomes in the developing countries at 1 and 5% of the significance thresholds. These results give the picture that the mobilization of the international community in favour of the health sector in the context of the MDGs through health aid has been more effective in achieving certain health goals from the 2000s onwards than before the Millennium Declaration. This study shows that it is in the interest of development partners, particularly those in the health sector, to significantly improve the survival and health of the populations of developing countries through health aid. It is recommended that development assistance policies be designed to take into consideration the existing institutional framework and how these resource flows interfere with, and therefore change, the incentive structure of recipient countries. The transfer of resources in the form of health aid to meet current needs must be complemented by other additional actions, such as education campaigns and infrastructure improvements, in order to achieve long-term improvement.
Economics
Mollah Aminul Islam
Abstract
Financial development has recently been captured the attention of researchers as in important element of economic prosperity. As foreign direct investment can have an important role in the economic achievements, this study investigates the role of financial development in attracting FDIs. Unlike earlier ...
Read More
Financial development has recently been captured the attention of researchers as in important element of economic prosperity. As foreign direct investment can have an important role in the economic achievements, this study investigates the role of financial development in attracting FDIs. Unlike earlier studies, it considers the most comprehensive proxy of financial development which overcomes the shortcomings due to ignorance of many economic components by earlier researchers. In this connection, this study uses panel of 39 countries from One Belt One Road (OBOR) economies. The empirical findings provide evidence in favor of financial sector reforms so as to benefit from foreign investment. The results are robust to the alternative measures of financial deepening under instrumental variable estimation. Therefore, the research specifically suggests countries to concentrate on developing their financial systems. Proper policy formulation can be done to reconstruct the weaker systems and to ensure wider and safer public access to the financial systems.
Management
Mohammad Karami; Shokoufeh Karami; Naser Elahinia
Abstract
In the last two decades, research on investigating factors influencing the consumer repurchase intention has advanced and become an important topic in the marketing society and literature. The objective of this paper is to compare the weight of service providers’ personality traits and service ...
Read More
In the last two decades, research on investigating factors influencing the consumer repurchase intention has advanced and become an important topic in the marketing society and literature. The objective of this paper is to compare the weight of service providers’ personality traits and service quality performances they provide to uncover the primary factor influencing a clients’ intention to revisit their beauty salon in a long-term relationship. The SERVQUAL model of service quality and Mini-Marker model of personality were employed to substantiate the hypothesized relationship. Based on 453 valid respondents from beauty salons’ visitors, empirical finding remarkably indicate that the hairstylist’s personality was the primary reason for clients to revisit beauty salons. The results demonstrate that the factors such as agreeableness, intellect, conscientiousness and extraversion respectively have been prioritized as the most effective reasons for re-visitation in the view of customers. From the service quality side, the dimension of tangibility is ranked as the first reason to revisit the beauty salon. Overall, the outcome of this study can be applied to beauty salons’ management process in the line with building a strong long-term customer relationship and in return sustain profitability.
Economics
Md Ekram Hossain; Huang Dechun; Changzheng Zhang; Mohammad Ali
Abstract
This paper examines the intensity of trade between Bangladesh and China along with analyzing sector level comparative advantage of 16 export sectors of Bangladesh and China in bilateral trade. The Trade Intensity and Balassa Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA) indices of the 20 export sectors of Bangladesh ...
Read More
This paper examines the intensity of trade between Bangladesh and China along with analyzing sector level comparative advantage of 16 export sectors of Bangladesh and China in bilateral trade. The Trade Intensity and Balassa Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA) indices of the 20 export sectors of Bangladesh and China are examined from 1995 to 2019 to achieve the research objectives. Bangladesh's trade strength with China shows that the country has a lot of space to expand its trade with China. The revealed comparative advantage analysis of 20 exports sector of Bangladesh and China exhibits that among those 20 sectors, Bangladesh reveals high comparative advantage over 5 sectors, moderate over 4 sectors, and comparative disadvantage over 11sectors of its export to China. Moreover, China reveals moderate comparative advantage over 8 sectors and comparative disadvantage over 12 sectors of its export to Bangladesh. Based on the empirical analysis and the literature, recommendations are addressed to improve the export sectors of Bangladesh.
Economics
Kazuhiro Ohnishi
Abstract
This paper examines a price-setting mixed duopoly model in which a state-owned public firm and a private firm produce complementary goods. There is no possibility of entry or exit. Each firm has one owner and can hire one manager to make its production decisions. The paper first analyzes the following ...
Read More
This paper examines a price-setting mixed duopoly model in which a state-owned public firm and a private firm produce complementary goods. There is no possibility of entry or exit. Each firm has one owner and can hire one manager to make its production decisions. The paper first analyzes the following four possible cases: neither firm hires a manager, only the private firm hires a manager, only the state-owned public firm hires a manager and both firms hire managers. It is shown that economic welfare is identical in all the four cases. Next, this paper presents the equilibrium of the model. The paper shows that there exist two equilibrium outcomes: only the public firm hires a manager and neither firm hires a manager. As a result, it is found that the equilibrium of the paper is contrast with that obtained under price-setting mixed duopoly competition with substitute goods, where both the public firm and the private firm hire managers.
Economics
Muhumed Mohamed Muhumed
Abstract
The global economy has plummeted since the COVID-19 pandemic hit the world in early 2020. While the economic effect of the pandemic has been felt globally, it was grave in Sub-Saharan Africa due to the region’s fragility. This article aims to probe the economic impact of COVID-19 in Sub-Saharan ...
Read More
The global economy has plummeted since the COVID-19 pandemic hit the world in early 2020. While the economic effect of the pandemic has been felt globally, it was grave in Sub-Saharan Africa due to the region’s fragility. This article aims to probe the economic impact of COVID-19 in Sub-Saharan Africa and while doing so, examines the effect by sector, giving specific emphasis to the most affected sectors - among these are tourism, commodity exports and trade, remittances, and financial and fiscal sectors. Moreover, the study attempts to understand how the pandemic contributed to or rather exacerbated the existing problems in the region including poverty, unemployment, and inequality. As a result of the pandemic, hard-earned economic growth has been reversed, millions have been pushed into poverty, inequality has widened, and entire sectors have collapsed or extremely crippled. Above all, the pandemic pushed Sub-Saharan Africa into the first recession in twenty-five years.
Management
Mohammad Karami; Shokoufeh Karami
Abstract
Since early this year, the world has been facing a hazardous new generation of coronavirus named COVID-19 which has rapidly spread to the extent that it has drowned the world into the pandemic condition. The spread of this pandemic has generated a strong contagion effect across markets around the ...
Read More
Since early this year, the world has been facing a hazardous new generation of coronavirus named COVID-19 which has rapidly spread to the extent that it has drowned the world into the pandemic condition. The spread of this pandemic has generated a strong contagion effect across markets around the globe. Therefore, it is necessary to examine the impact of COVID-19 for as many markets as possible. This paper aims to analyze the cosmetic retail market’s behavior in the time of the COVID-19 pandemic using a combination of graphical statistics tools to observe the monthly growth of production and sales in cosmetic retail and toilet articles for the period from October 2019 to August 2020. The results assume that the COVID-19 can have a black swan effect on the cosmetic micro-market. These findings are remarkable for the cosmetic sector's investors and marketers to enhance their understanding of cosmetic retail market behavior during unpredictable events such as pandemics.
Economics
Agnes Quartina Pudjiastuti
Abstract
Farmers in Sumberejo Village cultivate vegetables simultaneously during certain seasons on their land. This study aims to analyze potential for increased production vegetables during Covid-19 pandemic. Data collected from 45 randomly selected farmers were analyzed using Cobb Douglas production function. ...
Read More
Farmers in Sumberejo Village cultivate vegetables simultaneously during certain seasons on their land. This study aims to analyze potential for increased production vegetables during Covid-19 pandemic. Data collected from 45 randomly selected farmers were analyzed using Cobb Douglas production function. The analysis showed that land area had a very significant effect and positive on the production of celery, mustard greens and red chilies. Seeds did not have a significant effect on celery and mustard greens production, but had a significant effect on red chilies. Fertilizers did not have a significant effect on the vegetables yields. Labor had a significant effect in different directions on celery production (positive) and pakcoy (negative), but does not have a significant effect on red chili. Pesticides only had a significant effect and positive on celery, while the mustard greens and red chilies have no significant effect. During a pandemic, the expansion of production vegetables included in category increasing return to scale, because sum of input coefficients was greater than one. These results can be a signal for farmers to increase their production. Government should regulate distribution of these commodities and the prices stability because people must keep their distance.
Economics
Sahar Qaiser
Abstract
The purpose of this paper is to investigate the long run relationship of Industrialization and Economic Growth in Pakistan. The time series data from 1976-2015 is used. The main source of data is World Development Indicator (WDI). Gross Domestic Product is used as dependent variable, while Industrial ...
Read More
The purpose of this paper is to investigate the long run relationship of Industrialization and Economic Growth in Pakistan. The time series data from 1976-2015 is used. The main source of data is World Development Indicator (WDI). Gross Domestic Product is used as dependent variable, while Industrial Output, Foreign Direct Investment, Saving and Inflation are used as the independent variables. The ARDL testing Approach has been applied on the data. After it, the stability of the function was tested by CUSUM. The results of ARDL bound testing reveals the long run association between industrial output and GDP. This study shows that an increase in Industrial Output increases the Gross Domestic Product in Pakistan. In the end, the stability of results is confirmed by CUSUM test.
Accounting
Md. Tahidur Rahman; Syed Zabid Hossain; Md. Anwarul Haque; Md. Abu Hanif Ashik
Abstract
This study intended to explore the IPO motives and the factors that contributed to IPO oversubscription in Bangladesh. Based on hand-collected data from 101 sample IPO prospectus during 2010–19, the study found an average of 10 IPOs per year, mostly (90%) through the fixed-price method. Among the ...
Read More
This study intended to explore the IPO motives and the factors that contributed to IPO oversubscription in Bangladesh. Based on hand-collected data from 101 sample IPO prospectus during 2010–19, the study found an average of 10 IPOs per year, mostly (90%) through the fixed-price method. Among the sample companies, 34.7% were in the textile sector, followed by 17.8% in the engineering sector and 12.9% in the pharmaceuticals & chemical sector. This study observed an average subscription times of 23.41, which was much lower than in some other South Asian countries. Regarding the use of IPO proceeds, loan settlement was the prime motive, followed by capital expenditure, and working capital financing. Companies expensed around 6% of the total IPO proceeds as flotation cost. Although the detailed disclosure of the use of IPO proceeds in the prospectus is a common and expected feature, it was found absent in around 12% of companies. The logistic regression model found a statistically significant influence of lot size (LOT), post-IPO capital (PIC), and flotation cost (FTC) on oversubscription times (OST). The contribution of FTC to OST was a novel finding of this study. The study also found the absence of large and reputed domestic and multinational conglomerates in the listing through IPOs. Thus, the current study recommends regulators should take proper drives to customize and familiarize the book-building method, which can entice good companies for listing in stock exchanges through IPO.
